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Sha Tin · 2026-04-19 · 08:10

ENABLING A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE 1200M HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1200m 12 runners

Race 7 ("ENABLING A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE 1200M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TARGET AUDIENCE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with ARMOUR WAR EAGLE second and LIGHT YEARS GLORY third. The 2.8 favourite ARMOUR WAR EAGLE finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 9.33

Result

Official · 1:08.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 TARGET AUDIENCE TT1 1:08.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 2 13.0
2 1 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/TT K Teetan · M Newnham 1 2.8 1/2
3 8 LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 6 18.0 1
4 3 GIANT LEAP B-/E1/V1 H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 4 7.6 1-1/4
5 10 JUICY DRAGON V A Atzeni · K L Man 8 4.0 3-1/2
6 9 ONE MAN SHOW XB/CP1 M F Poon · F C Lor 7 11.0 4
7 4 NEVER TOO SOON B B Avdulla · D J Hall 3 42.0 5
8 7 FLOWING RICHES B P N Wong · K H Ting 10 7.1 6-1/2
9 12 CONRAD THE GREAT SR/XB/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte 12 13.0 7-1/4
10 6 EVERSTAR P1/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui 9 168.0 9-1/4
11 2 IGOT B1/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip 11 182.0 10
12 11 REGROWTH WINNER CP-/B1/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 5 240.0 18
0 GOOD LUCK BABE B/TT · A S Cruz
0 HAPPY SHOOTER TT L Hewitson · C S Shum

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TARGET AUDIENCE2. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE+0.5L3. LIGHT YEARS GLORY+1L4. GIANT LEAP+1.25L5. JUICY DRAGON+3.5L6. ONE MAN SHOW+4L7. NEVER TOO SOON+5L8. FLOWING RICHES+6.5L9. CONRAD THE GREAT+7.25L10. EVERSTAR+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick JUICY DRAGON (19.7%) finished 5th — the winner TARGET AUDIENCE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 JUICY DRAGON 19.7% 5.07 5
2 3 GIANT LEAP 13.6% 7.34 4
3 5 TARGET AUDIENCE 12.2% 8.17 1
4 1 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 11.4% 8.80 2
5 9 ONE MAN SHOW 11.0% 9.13 6
6 7 FLOWING RICHES 9.9% 10.07 8
7 12 CONRAD THE GREAT 8.6% 11.66 9
8 8 LIGHT YEARS GLORY 5.9% 16.95 3
9 4 NEVER TOO SOON 3.7% 26.99 7
10 2 IGOT 1.7% 59.88 11
11 6 EVERSTAR 1.4% 73.75 10
12 11 REGROWTH WINNER 1.0% 102.82 12
JUICY DRAGONGIANT LEAPTARGET AUDIENCE — wonARMOUR WAR EAGLEONE MAN SHOWFLOWING RICHESCONRAD THE GREATLIGHT YEARS GLORYNEVER TOO SOONIGOTEVERSTARREGROWTH WINNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 130.5

PLACE

1 13

5 39

8 43

QUINELLA

1,5 171.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 63.5

1,8 87.5

5,8 315

FORECAST

5,1 428

TIERCE

5,1,8 4,287

TRIO

1,5,8 792

FIRST 4

1,3,5,8 923

QUARTET

5,1,8,3 23,019

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

8,9,11/1,5,8 144,410

6TH DOUBLE

9/1 138

9/5 1,712

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,6,11/8,9,11/Any Combination 6,296