Venue
Happy Valley
Happy Valley is the city-centre Wednesday-night track: a tight, floodlit turf oval where the draw and early position matter more than anywhere else in Hong Kong.
Draw Bias
Long
| Draw | Starts | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 657 | 13.5% |
| 2 | 655 | 11.6% |
| 3 | 656 | 10.2% |
| 4 | 656 | 9.5% |
| 5 | 658 | 7.9% |
| 6 | 651 | 8.0% |
| 7 | 640 | 11.7% |
| 8 | 627 | 6.5% |
| 9 | 579 | 7.8% |
| 10 | 527 | 9.3% |
| 11 | 447 | 5.8% |
| 12 | 381 | 6.0% |
| 13 | 34 | 5.9% |
| 14 | 26 | 3.8% |
Middle
| Draw | Starts | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1,382 | 11.1% |
| 2 | 1,380 | 10.7% |
| 3 | 1,377 | 10.5% |
| 4 | 1,379 | 9.0% |
| 5 | 1,379 | 9.9% |
| 6 | 1,365 | 9.2% |
| 7 | 1,345 | 8.4% |
| 8 | 1,291 | 8.3% |
| 9 | 1,242 | 7.7% |
| 10 | 1,171 | 8.1% |
| 11 | 994 | 6.3% |
| 12 | 861 | 7.4% |
| 13 | 92 | 7.6% |
| 14 | 68 | 11.8% |
Mile
| Draw | Starts | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5,200 | 12.1% |
| 2 | 5,212 | 12.0% |
| 3 | 5,205 | 10.2% |
| 4 | 5,199 | 10.2% |
| 5 | 5,190 | 9.5% |
| 6 | 5,176 | 10.4% |
| 7 | 5,101 | 8.7% |
| 8 | 4,942 | 8.9% |
| 9 | 4,556 | 7.9% |
| 10 | 4,149 | 7.4% |
| 11 | 2,922 | 6.0% |
| 12 | 2,659 | 5.8% |
| 13 | 242 | 6.2% |
| 14 | 201 | 7.5% |
Sprint
| Draw | Starts | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4,725 | 14.1% |
| 2 | 4,702 | 11.8% |
| 3 | 4,704 | 11.5% |
| 4 | 4,715 | 10.3% |
| 5 | 4,705 | 10.4% |
| 6 | 4,652 | 9.5% |
| 7 | 4,610 | 8.0% |
| 8 | 4,480 | 8.2% |
| 9 | 4,114 | 6.1% |
| 10 | 3,996 | 6.0% |
| 11 | 3,762 | 5.1% |
| 12 | 3,442 | 4.7% |
| 13 | 87 | 3.4% |
| 14 | 62 | 1.6% |
Favourite Performance
| Distance | Runners | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Long | 666 | 25.8% |
| Middle | 1,396 | 27.3% |
| Mile | 5,277 | 25.6% |
| Sprint | 4,787 | 31.1% |
Track condition readings (recent meetings)
| Date | Going | Penetrometer | Hammer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Good | 2.73 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | Good | 2.73 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Good | 2.71 | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Good | 2.71 | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Good | 2.71 | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Good | 2.71 | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Good | 2.7199999999999998 | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Good | 2.7199999999999998 | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Good | 2.7199999999999998 | — |
| 2026-04-22 | Good | 2.71 | — |
Recent Meetings
Sha Tin
Draw is a model input — how the model works
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