Venue
Happy Valley
Happy Valley is the city-centre Wednesday-night track: a tight, floodlit turf oval where the draw and early position matter more than anywhere else in Hong Kong.
Draw Bias
Long
| Draw | Starts | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 659 | 13.5% |
| 2 | 660 | 11.5% |
| 3 | 661 | 10.4% |
| 4 | 658 | 9.4% |
| 5 | 663 | 7.8% |
| 6 | 657 | 8.1% |
| 7 | 647 | 11.6% |
| 8 | 630 | 6.5% |
| 9 | 583 | 7.7% |
| 10 | 534 | 9.4% |
| 11 | 450 | 5.8% |
| 12 | 382 | 6.0% |
| 13 | 34 | 5.9% |
| 14 | 26 | 3.8% |
Middle
| Draw | Starts | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1,391 | 11.1% |
| 2 | 1,393 | 10.6% |
| 3 | 1,389 | 10.5% |
| 4 | 1,390 | 8.9% |
| 5 | 1,387 | 10.1% |
| 6 | 1,374 | 9.2% |
| 7 | 1,354 | 8.3% |
| 8 | 1,301 | 8.5% |
| 9 | 1,254 | 7.7% |
| 10 | 1,178 | 8.1% |
| 11 | 1,003 | 6.3% |
| 12 | 871 | 7.5% |
| 13 | 92 | 7.6% |
| 14 | 68 | 11.8% |
Mile
| Draw | Starts | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5,232 | 12.1% |
| 2 | 5,250 | 12.0% |
| 3 | 5,252 | 10.2% |
| 4 | 5,235 | 10.2% |
| 5 | 5,233 | 9.5% |
| 6 | 5,217 | 10.3% |
| 7 | 5,135 | 8.6% |
| 8 | 4,981 | 8.8% |
| 9 | 4,612 | 7.8% |
| 10 | 4,189 | 7.4% |
| 11 | 2,963 | 6.0% |
| 12 | 2,699 | 5.8% |
| 13 | 242 | 6.2% |
| 14 | 201 | 7.5% |
Sprint
| Draw | Starts | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4,766 | 14.1% |
| 2 | 4,755 | 11.8% |
| 3 | 4,751 | 11.5% |
| 4 | 4,761 | 10.4% |
| 5 | 4,738 | 10.4% |
| 6 | 4,700 | 9.5% |
| 7 | 4,642 | 8.1% |
| 8 | 4,523 | 8.1% |
| 9 | 4,150 | 6.1% |
| 10 | 4,034 | 6.0% |
| 11 | 3,797 | 5.0% |
| 12 | 3,487 | 4.6% |
| 13 | 87 | 3.4% |
| 14 | 62 | 1.6% |
Favourite Performance
| Distance | Runners | Strike Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Long | 666 | 26.0% |
| Middle | 1,396 | 27.4% |
| Mile | 5,277 | 25.6% |
| Sprint | 4,787 | 31.3% |
Track condition readings (recent meetings)
| Date | Going | Penetrometer | Hammer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Good | 2.73 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | Good | 2.73 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | Good | 2.71 | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Good | 2.71 | — |
| 2026-06-03 | Good | 2.71 | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Good | 2.71 | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Good | 2.7199999999999998 | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Good | 2.7199999999999998 | — |
| 2026-04-29 | Good | 2.7199999999999998 | — |
| 2026-04-22 | Good | 2.71 | — |
Recent Meetings
Sha Tin
Draw is a model input — how the model works
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