跑馬地 · 2023-11-29 · 14:55
第 8場
2023-11-29跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的SON PAK FU勝出，贏出1-1/4。MAJESTIC KNIGHT獲得亞軍；HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門MAJESTIC KNIGHT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SON PAK FU BO 1.09.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | WONDER KIT CP L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | NORDIC DRAGON TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 7 | 9.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOKO WIN B A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 6 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 67.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | EASON V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 57.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | POWER KOEPP E M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 104.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | SEASONS WIT B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 8.7 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 10 | REWARD SMILE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SEASONS WIT | 28.9% | 3.46 | 11 |
| 2 | 8 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 20.2% | 4.94 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | WONDER KIT | 14.0% | 7.16 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | NORDIC DRAGON | 8.6% | 11.68 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | SON PAK FU | 7.4% | 13.44 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 6.6% | 15.24 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | GOKO WIN | 4.2% | 23.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 3.0% | 33.27 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | EASON | 2.9% | 34.45 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 2.3% | 43.96 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | POWER KOEPP | 1.9% | 51.42 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 78
PLACE
2 17
5 26
8 15.5
QUINELLA
5,8 144.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 63
2,8 31.5
5,8 55.5
FORECAST
5,8 357
TIERCE
5,8,2 1,148
TRIO
2,5,8 161
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 341
QUARTET
5,8,2,6 7,320
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
3/1/5 597
3/1/8 91
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/2,5,8 2,864
7TH DOUBLE
1/5 90
1/8 16
SIX UP
6/7/1/3/1/5 54,319
6,11/4,7/1,2/3,12/1,3/5,8 4,727
10 [A Badel] —
6 [T P Yung] —