跑馬地 · 2024-01-04 · 13:20
第 5場
2024-01-04跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、J Richards訓練的SUPER FAST DRAGON勝出，贏出1。BEAUTY DESTINY獲得亞軍；OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門LIFE IS GOOD跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER FAST DRAGON B/XB/TT 0.57.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 11 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | BEAUTY DESTINY CP/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 8.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 6 | 36.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 4 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | LIFE IS GOOD H/P/XB/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 3.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 5 | 7.3 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SAME TO YOU H1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 73.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | FALCON COURT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 10 | 92.0 | 36 |
| — | 6 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LIFE IS GOOD | 25.2% | 3.96 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 11.0% | 9.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 10.5% | 9.49 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | HARMONY FIRE | 10.4% | 9.66 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 8.5% | 11.81 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 8.3% | 12.00 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 7.5% | 13.41 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 7.4% | 13.52 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 6.9% | 14.52 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | FALCON COURT | 3.0% | 33.03 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | SAME TO YOU | 1.3% | 74.30 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 38
PLACE
9 32
10 27.5
12 15.5
QUINELLA
10,12 178.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 184.5
9,12 89.5
10,12 66.5
FORECAST
12,10 321
TIERCE
12,10,9 2,960
TRIO
9,10,12 781
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 815
QUARTET
12,10,9,1 15,430
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/10/10 1,456
5/10/12 3,559
4TH DOUBLE
10/10 121.5
10/12 370.5