跑馬地 · 2024-09-25
第 8場
2024-09-25跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米。由M Chadwick策騎、D J Whyte訓練的RED ELEGANCE勝出，贏出1/2。ETERNAL FORTUNE獲得亞軍；ATOMIC FORCE獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門YOUTHFUL SPIRITS跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RED ELEGANCE B 0.56.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | ETERNAL FORTUNE L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 65.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE XB/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 3 | 6.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 9 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ALLGREEKTOME CP-/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 7 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 11 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | MIDORI GLORY TT1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 2 | 3.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SERGEANT PEPPER A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 1 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | BITS SUPERSTAR CP-/B1 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 4 | O'LINER H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 37.2% | 2.69 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | ALLGREEKTOME | 9.9% | 10.08 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 9.8% | 10.24 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE | 9.2% | 10.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 9.0% | 11.05 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | RED ELEGANCE | 8.2% | 12.17 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | HEROIC MASTER | 4.9% | 20.27 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 4.6% | 21.81 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | MIDORI GLORY | 4.1% | 24.14 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 1.7% | 57.72 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 1.3% | 77.02 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 52.5
PLACE
2 19
5 19
11 155.5
QUINELLA
5,11 3,079.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 47
2,11 555.5
5,11 768
FORECAST
5,11 3,969
TIERCE
5,11,2 26,009
TRIO
2,5,11 3,840
FIRST 4
2,5,7,11 4,569
QUARTET
5,11,2,7 164,020
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/7/5 2,836
1/7/11 12,358
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,10/2,5,11 183,554
7TH DOUBLE
7/5 240.5
7/11 631.5
SIX UP
3,10,12/3,11/4,12/1,8/7,10/5,11 38,892
12/3/4/1/7/5 2,234,787
3 [C Fownes] —
2 [H Bowman] —