跑馬地 · 2025-01-15 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-01-15跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的MOTOMAN勝出，贏出1-1/4。YEE CHEONG SPIRIT獲得亞軍；WINNING HEART獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門NORTHERN FIRE BALL跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MOTOMAN CP-/PC1/TT 1.10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT H-/XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | WINNING HEART B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER CHARIZZARD PC L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | ACE POWER B/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 9 | 55.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TELECOM POWER B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | RAGNARR B/H M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SPICY SO SMART V/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | POLARIS B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | YOUNG HORIZON CP B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | WISDOM STAR B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 132.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 24.5% | 4.09 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 18.3% | 5.46 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | RAGNARR | 11.5% | 8.69 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | WINNING HEART | 9.1% | 10.95 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | TELECOM POWER | 7.9% | 12.73 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 7.4% | 13.60 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | SPICY SO SMART | 6.3% | 15.90 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | MOTOMAN | 4.5% | 22.29 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | YOUNG HORIZON | 3.3% | 30.23 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | POLARIS | 2.7% | 37.52 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | WISDOM STAR | 2.6% | 37.89 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | ACE POWER | 2.0% | 50.73 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 234
PLACE
1 23
4 58
12 36
QUINELLA
1,4 602.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 228
1,12 115.5
4,12 384
FORECAST
4,1 1,604
TIERCE
4,1,12 24,582
TRIO
1,4,12 2,628
FIRST 4
1,4,5,12 2,693
QUARTET
4,1,12,5 117,334
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,11/1,4,12 1,366,962
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 38.5
4/4 2,010.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,8/4,8,11/Any Combination 27,227