跑馬地 · 2025-02-19 · 12:40
第 5場
2025-02-19跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米。由M F Poon策騎、P C Ng訓練的PLENTIFUL勝出，贏出2。PARENTS' LOVE獲得亞軍；CHAMPION METHOD獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門CHAMPION METHOD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PLENTIFUL XB/TT 0.57.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 5 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | CHAMPION METHOD TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 2 | 3.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GRAND NOVA E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | HAPPY UNITED B/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 1 | 6.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | BRAVE JOY TT R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 7 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | ALLGREEKTOME B/TT T Marquand · D A Hayes | T Marquand | D A Hayes | 4 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | LEADING ARTICLE TT1 A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 6 | 54.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY TANGO B H Doyle · Y S Tsui | H Doyle | Y S Tsui | 11 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE CP/XB E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | PRECIOUS HILL TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 28.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHAMPION METHOD | 23.1% | 4.34 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | PLENTIFUL | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | PARENTS' LOVE | 15.1% | 6.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | HAPPY UNITED | 10.5% | 9.52 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | ALLGREEKTOME | 8.4% | 11.85 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | GRAND NOVA | 5.8% | 17.34 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE | 5.7% | 17.55 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 3.2% | 31.65 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | LEADING ARTICLE | 2.8% | 35.32 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY TANGO | 2.4% | 41.56 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | BRAVE JOY | 2.1% | 48.53 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | PRECIOUS HILL | 0.8% | 123.49 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 45
PLACE
5 14
6 26.5
12 19
QUINELLA
6,12 244.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 55
5,12 37
6,12 75.5
FORECAST
12,6 447
TIERCE
12,6,5 1,232
TRIO
5,6,12 198
FIRST 4
1,5,6,12 383
QUARTET
12,6,5,1 9,328
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/5/6 4,126
7/5/12 13,600
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,11/5,6,12 127,374
4TH DOUBLE
5/6 143
5/12 643