跑馬地 · 2025-11-05 · 12:45
第 5場
2025-11-05跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Doyle策騎、F C Lor訓練的RUN RUN SMART勝出。LUNAR DASH獲得亞軍；YEE CHEONG SPIRIT獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門LUNAR DASH跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART 1:10.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 11 | 21.0 | — |
| 2 | 2 | LUNAR DASH Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 9 | 1.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 2 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | NEWBORN MIRACLE M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 9.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LEGENDARY IMPACT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 6 | 43.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | TOP TO SKY K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 70.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GOLDEN DREAM M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | PRIDE BELIEVER A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 56.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY ALLIANCE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 95.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN FORTUNE A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 12 | 121.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 7 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | THE REVOLUTION L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 13.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUNAR DASH | 50.5% | 1.98 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 13.9% | 7.19 | 11 |
| 3 | 8 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 11.0% | 9.12 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | NEWBORN MIRACLE | 5.2% | 19.16 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | THE REVOLUTION | 4.4% | 22.68 | 12 |
| 6 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART | 4.0% | 24.73 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | GOLDEN DREAM | 3.3% | 29.94 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 2.1% | 47.84 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 1.9% | 51.77 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | TOP TO SKY | 1.6% | 63.26 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | PRIDE BELIEVER | 1.1% | 87.55 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY ALLIANCE | 0.9% | 110.08 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 213.5
PLACE
2 10.5
8 16.5
10 43.5
QUINELLA
2,10 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 21.5
2,10 52.5
8,10 99
FORECAST
10,2 664
TIERCE
10,2,8 2,352
TRIO
2,8,10 217
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 305
QUARTET
10,2,8,11 13,370
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
2/4/2 52
2/4/10 2,531
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/2,8,10 17,414
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 15
4/10 1,109.5