沙田 · 2026-04-19 · 07:05
THE HONG KONG JOCKEY CLUB COMMUNITY TROPHY (HANDICAP)
第 5場
2026-04-19沙田第5場「THE HONG KONG JOCKEY CLUB COMMUNITY TROPHY (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的ABSOLUTE HONOUR勝出。MEGA MASTERMIND獲得亞軍；PRESTIGE RICKY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR 後段發力 1:34.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.3 | — |
| 2 | 3 | MEGA MASTERMIND 早段領放 V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | PRESTIGE RICKY 後段發力 E-/TT1 J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | MATSU VICTOR B/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 7 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FAMILY KNIGHT 後段發力 E/SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 150.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | INCANTO STAR 後段發力 B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 10 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | HONORARY CP/H/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 11 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | MULTISUPERSTAR TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK TT H Y Yuen · K H Ting | H Y Yuen | K H Ting | 9 | 4.4 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | FLYING BOOM XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CLEANSWEEPER 後段發力 H/TT R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 13 | 168.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LEAPING STAR 後段發力 CP L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 14 | 286.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GRAND TURBO B-/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 137.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 1 | FLUORESCENCE TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 5 | 212.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SMILING FALCON B · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | NYX GLUCK CP1 · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 26.9% | 3.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MEGA MASTERMIND | 15.8% | 6.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK | 12.3% | 8.12 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 11.3% | 8.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | MULTISUPERSTAR | 8.6% | 11.61 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING BOOM | 6.8% | 14.67 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | INCANTO STAR | 4.7% | 21.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | MATSU VICTOR | 4.3% | 23.47 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | HONORARY | 2.0% | 48.82 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | CLEANSWEEPER | 1.7% | 58.26 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | FAMILY KNIGHT | 1.7% | 59.36 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | GRAND TURBO | 1.4% | 69.15 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | LEAPING STAR | 1.4% | 73.91 | 12 |
| 14 | 1 | FLUORESCENCE | 1.1% | 87.37 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 23
PLACE
3 19
6 27.5
11 11.5
QUINELLA
3,11 67
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 98.5
3,11 29.5
6,11 54
FORECAST
11,3 122
TIERCE
11,3,6 821
TRIO
3,6,11 243
FIRST 4
3,6,11,14 608
QUARTET
11,3,6,14 6,915
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/11/3 2,578
4/11/11 8,052
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/3,6,11 36,031
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 66.5
11/11 292.5