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Sha Tin · 2026-05-24 · 05:35

STANDARD CHARTERED GREATER BAY AREA HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 3 ("STANDARD CHARTERED GREATER BAY AREA HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-24 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CONRAD PATCH, ridden by C Williams and trained by W K Mo, won, with SIGHT DREAMER second and SAME TO YOU third. The 3.9 favourite GROUPER finished 8th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:09.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 CONRAD PATCH CP/TT 1:09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Williams · W K Mo 11 10.0
2 2 SIGHT DREAMER TT A Atzeni · J Size 5 44.0 3/4
3 14 SAME TO YOU H/P/TT R Kingscote · M Newnham 3 41.0 1
4 9 PRESTIGE HALL P1/H2/TT1 E Brown · D J Hall 14 9.4 1-1/2
5 7 WARRIORS DREAM XB/CP1/TT K Teetan · B Crawford 10 33.0 1-3/4
6 6 UNSTOPPAPLE H1/TT1 J Orman · W Y So 9 115.0 2
7 8 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B-/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 2 10.0 2-3/4
8 4 GROUPER TT J McDonald · C S Shum 4 3.9 3
9 5 MEGA CAPTAIN TT H Bowman · C H Yip 1 4.6 3
10 3 FLOWING RICHES B M L Yeung · K H Ting 6 13.0 3-3/4
11 10 QUARTZ LEGEND TT- J Moreira · C Fownes 13 54.0 4-1/2
12 12 RIDING HIGH CP H Y Yuen · D J Whyte 8 4.0 7
13 11 BEST FARM P N Wong · K L Man 7 160.0 7-3/4
14 13 MAGIC SUPER P- H T Mo · Y S Tsui 12 233.0 20-3/4
0 TURBO JEFFERIES CP1 · D A Hayes
0 SOO KOO SR · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CONRAD PATCH2. SIGHT DREAMER+0.75L3. SAME TO YOU+1L4. PRESTIGE HALL+1.5L5. WARRIORS DREAM+1.75L6. UNSTOPPAPLE+2L7. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+2.75L8. GROUPER+3L9. MEGA CAPTAIN+3L10. FLOWING RICHES+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GROUPER (23.6%) finished 8th — the winner CONRAD PATCH was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 GROUPER 23.6% 4.24 8
2 12 RIDING HIGH 20.4% 4.91 12
3 5 MEGA CAPTAIN 12.0% 8.32 9
4 2 SIGHT DREAMER 6.5% 15.29 2
5 9 PRESTIGE HALL 6.4% 15.71 4
6 10 QUARTZ LEGEND 6.1% 16.33 11
7 3 FLOWING RICHES 5.6% 18.00 10
8 7 WARRIORS DREAM 4.3% 23.01 5
9 1 CONRAD PATCH 4.2% 23.81 1
10 8 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 4.1% 24.42 7
11 6 UNSTOPPAPLE 2.3% 43.56 6
12 14 SAME TO YOU 2.1% 48.50 3
13 11 BEST FARM 1.5% 68.57 13
14 13 MAGIC SUPER 1.0% 100.59 14
GROUPERRIDING HIGHMEGA CAPTAINSIGHT DREAMERPRESTIGE HALLQUARTZ LEGENDFLOWING RICHESWARRIORS DREAMCONRAD PATCH — wonGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYUNSTOPPAPLESAME TO YOUBEST FARMMAGIC SUPER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 102

PLACE

1 28

2 94.5

14 67.5

QUINELLA

1,2 1,676

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 501

1,14 411.5

2,14 1,138.5

FORECAST

1,2 3,420

TIERCE

1,2,14 69,765

TRIO

1,2,14 12,194

FIRST 4

1,2,9,14 29,634

QUARTET

1,2,14,9 802,104

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,14/1,2,14 367,614

2ND DOUBLE

14/1 731

14/2 266.5