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Sha Tin · 2026-05-24 · 06:35

STANDARD CHARTERED PRIORITY PRIVATE HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 ("STANDARD CHARTERED PRIORITY PRIVATE HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-24 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BIG RETURN, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Richards, won, with LUCKY BALERION second and FLYING KNIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite JOLLY BRILLIANT finished 4th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:35.50
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 BIG RETURN Closed strongly H/TT 1:35.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Richards 6 4.2
2 13 LUCKY BALERION Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 3 10.0 1/2
3 4 FLYING KNIGHT B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 8 10.0 1
4 7 JOLLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu 14 3.4 2-3/4
5 1 LUCKY TWIN STARS CP/TT1 C L Chau · K W Lui 2 11.0 3-1/2
6 6 INNO SUPER Led early SR-/B2/TT J Orman · D Eustace 11 45.0 4-1/2
7 9 BEST WORLD Closed strongly CP Z Purton · D A Hayes 9 7.4 4-1/2
8 8 AUTOMATED H/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 7 147.0 5
9 3 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly C Williams · J Size 12 6.5 5
10 14 I EXCELLE B/H1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 4 77.0 5-1/4
11 5 BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B/SR L Ferraris · C H Yip 5 25.0 5-3/4
12 10 FAMILY KNIGHT E/SR/TT E Brown · D J Whyte 10 30.0 6
13 12 HEALTHY PONY CP/H M Chadwick · C W Chang 13 115.0 9
14 11 CLEANSWEEPER H/TT K C Leung · M Newnham 1 78.0 9-1/2
0 STAR MAC B2/TT · D J Hall
0 BLOSSOMY B · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BIG RETURN2. LUCKY BALERION+0.5L3. FLYING KNIGHT+1L4. JOLLY BRILLIANT+2.75L5. LUCKY TWIN STARS+3.5L6. INNO SUPER+4.5L7. BEST WORLD+4.5L8. AUTOMATED+5L9. ENTHRALLED+5L10. I EXCELLE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BEST WORLD (19.0%) finished 7th — the winner BIG RETURN was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 BEST WORLD 19.0% 5.27 7
2 7 JOLLY BRILLIANT 17.1% 5.85 4
3 2 BIG RETURN 12.8% 7.82 1
4 1 LUCKY TWIN STARS 9.9% 10.08 5
5 3 ENTHRALLED 8.0% 12.57 9
6 4 FLYING KNIGHT 6.5% 15.36 3
7 5 BRIGHT INHERITANCE 5.4% 18.55 11
8 13 LUCKY BALERION 5.4% 18.56 2
9 6 INNO SUPER 5.3% 18.77 6
10 10 FAMILY KNIGHT 3.3% 30.72 12
11 8 AUTOMATED 2.5% 40.64 8
12 14 I EXCELLE 1.9% 52.78 10
13 12 HEALTHY PONY 1.5% 64.56 13
14 11 CLEANSWEEPER 1.5% 66.51 14
BEST WORLDJOLLY BRILLIANTBIG RETURN — wonLUCKY TWIN STARSENTHRALLEDFLYING KNIGHTBRIGHT INHERITANCELUCKY BALERIONINNO SUPERFAMILY KNIGHTAUTOMATEDI EXCELLEHEALTHY PONYCLEANSWEEPER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 42.5

PLACE

2 16.5

4 31

13 32

QUINELLA

2,13 208.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 80.5

2,13 78.5

4,13 165

FORECAST

2,13 449

TIERCE

2,13,4 3,894

TRIO

2,4,13 1,048

FIRST 4

2,4,7,13 591

QUARTET

2,13,4,7 18,225

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/3/2 1,003

1/3/13 638

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,9,11/F 10,378

4TH DOUBLE

3/2 91.5

3/13 52