跑馬地 · 2020-01-22
第 8場
2020-01-22跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由T Piccone策騎、A T Millard訓練的SPARKLING DRAGON勝出，贏出3/4。THIS IS CLASS獲得亞軍；BEAUTY SPARK獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門WINNING FEELING跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT 1.09.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 4 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | THIS IS CLASS CP/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 3 | 7.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | LARSON CP N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 61.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING FEELING B S De Sousa · D E Ferraris | S De Sousa | D E Ferraris | 1 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING SWORD M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | MONKEY JEWELLERY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | STARLIGHT B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 6 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | JADE THEATRE B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 51.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | LE TERROIR CP/H/XB B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 10 | 49.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BALTIC SUCCESS H-/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 7.9 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | THIS IS CLASS | 20.4% | 4.90 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | WINNING FEELING | 15.4% | 6.50 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 11.1% | 9.04 | 12 |
| 4 | 3 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 10.5% | 9.51 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY SPARK | 9.2% | 10.88 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 8.9% | 11.25 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | STARLIGHT | 6.9% | 14.47 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 5.9% | 16.84 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | LE TERROIR | 4.6% | 21.73 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | LARSON | 4.4% | 22.94 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | FLYING SWORD | 1.6% | 60.82 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | JADE THEATRE | 1.1% | 92.96 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 96.5
PLACE
2 35.5
7 23
11 30.5
QUINELLA
2,11 426
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 135
2,11 136.5
7,11 117
TIERCE
2,11,7 5,271
TRIO
2,7,11 777
FIRST 4
2,5,7,11 12,534
QUARTET
2,11,7,5 235,805
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 29
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 2,576.5
10/11 572.5