跑馬地 · 2020-01-22
第 5場
2020-01-22跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的VERY SWEET ORANGE勝出，贏出SH。DR PROACTIVE獲得亞軍；WINNER'S HEART獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門SUPER WINNER跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V 0.57.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 5.1 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | DR PROACTIVE H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | WINNER'S HEART Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 5.1 | SH |
| 4 | 4 | SKY FIELD TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 15.0 | N |
| 5 | 8 | SMART OF YOUTH TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 9 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER WINNER H/SR1/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 1 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | EXCEL DELIGHT H S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 4 | 8.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | ISLAND WINNER CP/XB/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | WINNING STRIKES B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 58.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 3 | 282.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | HUMBLE STEED H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 146.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | SMART THINKER B1/XB1 N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 7 | 234.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BRAVE POWER T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER WINNER | 19.2% | 5.20 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | SMART OF YOUTH | 17.7% | 5.65 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | EXCEL DELIGHT | 16.3% | 6.14 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | WINNER'S HEART | 13.0% | 7.68 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | ISLAND WINNER | 11.6% | 8.62 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | SKY FIELD | 7.6% | 13.22 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | DR PROACTIVE | 4.1% | 24.65 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 3.4% | 29.05 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | WINNING STRIKES | 3.1% | 32.08 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | SMART THINKER | 2.6% | 38.28 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | HUMBLE STEED | 0.9% | 111.08 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 0.5% | 216.07 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 51.5
PLACE
2 17.5
3 17.5
7 27.5
QUINELLA
2,7 283.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 66
2,7 87
3,7 94
TIERCE
2,7,3 2,450
TRIO
2,3,7 672
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 1,695
QUARTET
2,7,3,4 30,987
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/2,3,7 50,544
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 25
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 206.5
2/7 72.5