跑馬地 · 2020-06-24
第 1場
2020-06-24跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由B Shinn策騎、C W Chang訓練的CHIKORITA勝出，贏出SH。SELL MY SOLE獲得亞軍；KING'S RACE獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門SELL MY SOLE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHIKORITA XB 1.09.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 11 | 46.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | SELL MY SOLE E1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.9 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | KING'S RACE B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | REGENCY POET XB-/B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 8.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | HARRIER JET B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNING WAYS B-/H2/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | HERCULES XB T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 1 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TRAVEL DATUK B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 7 | 8.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | GLORIOUS BUDDY M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 3 | 124.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | FUN TIMES B V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 8 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SKY TREASURE H H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SHANGHAI LAD P/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 55.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SELL MY SOLE | 26.2% | 3.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | HARRIER JET | 20.4% | 4.91 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | TRAVEL DATUK | 14.1% | 7.09 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | KING'S RACE | 13.5% | 7.38 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | REGENCY POET | 7.2% | 13.93 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | SKY TREASURE | 3.9% | 25.82 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | WINNING WAYS | 3.8% | 26.50 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | FUN TIMES | 3.7% | 27.35 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | CHIKORITA | 2.9% | 34.52 | 1 |
| 10 | 4 | HERCULES | 1.8% | 56.91 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | SHANGHAI LAD | 1.4% | 69.48 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.2% | 80.35 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 466
PLACE
2 19.5
3 119
5 12.5
QUINELLA
3,5 961.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 412
2,5 36.5
3,5 240
TIERCE
3,5,2 18,756
TRIO
2,3,5 1,215
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 2,231
QUARTET
3,5,2,8 103,714
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 34.5