跑馬地 · 2020-06-24
第 6場
2020-06-24跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的HIGHLAND FORTUNE勝出，贏出N。SKY DARCI獲得亞軍；ISLAND SHINE獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門SKY DARCI跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE 1.08.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 7.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | SKY DARCI TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 1.5 | N |
| 3 | 2 | ISLAND SHINE B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | THE RUNNER SR H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 1 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SPEED VISION B/TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 11 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | MOST BEAUTIFUL B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 35.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | POISED TO STRIKE B1 V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 12 | 46.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | PING HAI GALAXY K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 8 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | WON BALL T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 10 | 161.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | CZARSON B/TT M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 2 | 63.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | FANTASTIC FEELING N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 38.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | YOO YOO KING C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SKY DARCI | 38.5% | 2.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | ISLAND SHINE | 17.4% | 5.73 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 17.1% | 5.85 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 12.6% | 7.91 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | THE RUNNER | 4.9% | 20.32 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | POISED TO STRIKE | 1.8% | 55.45 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | MOST BEAUTIFUL | 1.6% | 64.19 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | CZARSON | 1.6% | 64.48 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | PING HAI GALAXY | 1.5% | 67.26 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | SPEED VISION | 1.4% | 70.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | FANTASTIC FEELING | 1.3% | 78.33 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | WON BALL | 0.3% | 374.41 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 70
PLACE
2 28
3 13.5
9 11.5
QUINELLA
3,9 44.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 69
2,9 37.5
3,9 21
TIERCE
3,9,2 870
TRIO
2,3,9 109
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 185
QUARTET
3,9,2,12 4,582
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
9/3 280
9/9 11