跑馬地 · 2020-09-16
第 3場
2020-09-16跑馬地第3場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Schofield策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的APOLLOS BOW勝出，贏出N。VITAL SPRING獲得亞軍；SMART THINKER獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門VITAL SPRING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | APOLLOS BOW B2 1.10.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.4 | N |
| 2 | 2 | VITAL SPRING CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 4 | SMART THINKER B-/XB-/TT1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FANTASTIC FABIO B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | TIGERLAD B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 3 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 5 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SPICY REALLY V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | SWEETLY BABY H/B1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 7.3 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | THE ONE B/TT- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | ROMAN ODYSSEY H/XB A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SHOW MISSION B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | WINNING WARRIOR V M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FLYING MONKEY K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWEETLY BABY | 29.3% | 3.41 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | TIGERLAD | 13.8% | 7.24 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | VITAL SPRING | 12.5% | 7.97 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | ROMAN ODYSSEY | 8.3% | 12.06 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | THE ONE | 7.6% | 13.08 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | SHOW MISSION | 5.9% | 17.07 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 5.0% | 20.07 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | APOLLOS BOW | 4.6% | 21.91 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | SMART THINKER | 4.3% | 23.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | WINNING WARRIOR | 4.0% | 25.00 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | SPICY REALLY | 2.7% | 36.62 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 1.9% | 52.40 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 94
PLACE
2 15
4 19
7 32.5
QUINELLA
2,7 189.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 47.5
2,7 68
4,7 117.5
FORECAST
7,2 629
TIERCE
7,2,4 3,384
TRIO
2,4,7 432
FIRST 4
2,4,7,8 2,193
QUARTET
7,2,4,8 54,386
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
6/2 19
6/7 860
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 24.5
A2 —