跑馬地 · 2021-04-14
第 4場
2021-04-14跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由B Shinn策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SHOWINA勝出，贏出3/4。HARRIER JET獲得亞軍；SUN OF MAKFI獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門HARRIER JET跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SHOWINA B 1.10.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 12 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HARRIER JET B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SUN OF MAKFI XB2 H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 5 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | NOBLE DESIRE SR/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | GLENEALY GENERALS V-/XB- J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 7 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | E HONEY K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 10 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SHINING ON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | EXUBERANT B/TT C Schofield · C S Shum | C Schofield | C S Shum | 11 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | PRINCE OF BON BON B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 9 | 87.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | RAGING BLAZE TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | INNO LEGEND CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 4.5 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | CAPTAIN STARISTIC R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 4 | 83.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 17.6% | 5.70 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | NOBLE DESIRE | 17.1% | 5.86 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | SUN OF MAKFI | 15.0% | 6.66 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | INNO LEGEND | 12.1% | 8.26 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | HARRIER JET | 8.4% | 11.88 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | SHINING ON | 6.2% | 16.14 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | E HONEY | 5.5% | 18.04 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | EXUBERANT | 5.4% | 18.50 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | SHOWINA | 4.9% | 20.33 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | CAPTAIN STARISTIC | 4.3% | 23.38 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | RAGING BLAZE | 1.8% | 54.89 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 1.7% | 59.06 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 130.5
PLACE
1 16
8 41
12 45
QUINELLA
1,8 251.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 87.5
1,12 98.5
8,12 358
FORECAST
8,1 617
TIERCE
8,1,12 9,482
TRIO
1,8,12 1,374
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 1,729
QUARTET
8,1,12,11 49,734
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 32.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 26
1/8 968