跑馬地 · 2021-12-22 · 21:45
第 7場
2021-12-22跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的HERE COMES TED勝出，贏出1。WINNING METHOD獲得亞軍；EXCELLENT CHARIOT獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HERE COMES TED B/TT 1.09.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 1 | 2.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | WINNING METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 6 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT B/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 7 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | CALIFORNIA FOREST H1/TT1 A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FARSHAD H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 103.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 11 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | KILLER INSTINCT TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 34.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | MAKE IT QUICK B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 12 | 193.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ESCAPE ROUTE E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 27.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HERE COMES TED | 23.9% | 4.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS | 15.8% | 6.31 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 12.9% | 7.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | STOCK LEGEND | 9.3% | 10.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | CALIFORNIA FOREST | 8.5% | 11.79 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | WINNING METHOD | 7.5% | 13.41 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 7.0% | 14.23 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 6.9% | 14.57 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 4.7% | 21.25 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | KILLER INSTINCT | 2.0% | 49.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | FARSHAD | 0.8% | 131.44 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | MAKE IT QUICK | 0.6% | 160.86 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 24.5
PLACE
2 16
8 21
11 11.5
QUINELLA
2,11 49
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 40.5
2,11 23.5
8,11 33
FORECAST
11,2 81
TIERCE
11,2,8 243
TRIO
2,8,11 83
FIRST 4
2,5,8,11 190
QUARTET
11,2,8,5 1,972
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,9/2,8,11 2,362
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/2 25.5
9/11 116
TRIPLE TRIO
1,9,10/3,5,9/2,8,11 22,514
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,9,10/3,5,9/Any Combination 450