跑馬地 · 2022-01-12 · 21:46
第 7場
2022-01-12跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、F C Lor訓練的SMART IDEA勝出，贏出N。SPICY GRILL獲得亞軍；BELLA BABY獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門SAVVY DELIGHT跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SMART IDEA H/TT 1.10.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 3 | 5.6 | N |
| 2 | 6 | SPICY GRILL B/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 6.9 | N |
| 3 | 8 | BELLA BABY XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 9 | 50.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 10 | 55.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SO AWESOME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | BIG TWO H/XB/SR1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | ISLAND SHINE B-/BO1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 25.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | NOIR RIDER B/TT- K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 61.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | NOBODY KNOWS H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 171.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 21.4% | 4.67 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | SMART IDEA | 13.5% | 7.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 11.5% | 8.67 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | SPICY GRILL | 11.3% | 8.83 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 10.8% | 9.28 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 10.3% | 9.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | BIG TWO | 5.7% | 17.52 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | NOIR RIDER | 5.7% | 17.53 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | ISLAND SHINE | 4.8% | 20.88 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | BELLA BABY | 2.8% | 35.10 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL | 1.7% | 58.16 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | NOBODY KNOWS | 0.4% | 265.50 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 56.5
PLACE
3 19
6 18
8 112.5
QUINELLA
3,6 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 46
3,8 320
6,8 353
FORECAST
3,6 336
TIERCE
3,6,8 7,362
TRIO
3,6,8 1,367
FIRST 4
3,6,8,11 9,655
QUARTET
3,6,8,11 104,500
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/3,6,8 251,617
3 PICK 1
A2 23.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/3 1,406.5
4/6 355
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,11/2,4,5/Any Combination 48,625