沙田 · 2022-01-30 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-01-30沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、C S Shum訓練的MAJESTIC STAR勝出，贏出1-1/2。EVERYONE'S VICTORY獲得亞軍；BEAR SLAM獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門EVERYONE'S VICTORY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR 1.08.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 7 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAR SLAM SR1 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 11 | 91.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SERGEANT PEPPER H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 7.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 7.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUNSET WATCH B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 4 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HARMONY SPIRIT CP/XB/TT J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | CALIFORNIA FOREST H/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 9 | 58.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | RESOLUTE B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 8 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SEVEN HEAVENS B-/PC1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 76.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 11 | MEGA HEART XB/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 23.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 27.8% | 3.60 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR | 18.8% | 5.32 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 14.8% | 6.74 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 10.5% | 9.53 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | MAGIC SUPREME | 7.9% | 12.65 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SUNSET WATCH | 5.8% | 17.27 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | CALIFORNIA FOREST | 4.9% | 20.35 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | RESOLUTE | 4.3% | 23.44 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 1.9% | 51.82 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 1.7% | 60.04 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAR SLAM | 1.6% | 62.97 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 43.5
PLACE
1 207
2 18
10 11
QUINELLA
2,10 53.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 535.5
1,10 320.5
2,10 24.5
FORECAST
2,10 136
TIERCE
2,10,1 6,149
TRIO
1,2,10 1,229
FIRST 4
1,2,10,12 8,275
QUARTET
2,10,1,12 95,957
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
9/2 141.5
9/10 13
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,13/9,10,13/Any Combination 15,250