跑馬地 · 2022-09-21 · 22:58
第 8場
2022-09-21跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的DURHAM STAR勝出，贏出1-1/4。GANG OF BROTHERS獲得亞軍；M M NEBULA獲得季軍。頭馬以5.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DURHAM STAR B/XB 1.09.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | GANG OF BROTHERS V C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | M M NEBULA CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 1 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | COLONEL K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 9.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 10 | 9.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 9 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | OCTOCONNECT B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 82.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 18.8% | 5.32 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 12.8% | 7.84 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 12.5% | 7.98 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND | 8.4% | 11.84 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | DURHAM STAR | 8.0% | 12.56 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | M M NEBULA | 7.3% | 13.66 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | COLONEL | 7.2% | 13.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 7.2% | 13.87 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | WOOD ON FIRE | 7.1% | 14.11 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | MELBOURNE HALL | 5.9% | 17.01 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | TURIN WARRIOR | 4.0% | 24.90 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | OCTOCONNECT | 0.7% | 135.32 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 54.5
PLACE
3 21
6 19.5
11 30
QUINELLA
3,6 179
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 68
3,11 103
6,11 102
FORECAST
6,3 409
TIERCE
6,3,11 3,221
TRIO
3,6,11 505
FIRST 4
3,6,9,11 1,590
QUARTET
6,3,11,9 29,613
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 34
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,9/3,6,11 30,491
7TH DOUBLE
9/3 142.5
9/6 519.5
SIX UP
1,7,8/2,9/3,6,11/5,9/2,9/3,6 3,386
1,8/2/11/9/9/6 434,892
5 [A S Cruz] —
3 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
9/9/3 661
9/9/6 3,692