跑馬地 · 2022-10-05 · 19:16
第 2場
2022-10-05跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的SUNNY AND GOLD勝出，贏出N。HEARTY WISH獲得亞軍；ISLAND SURPRISE獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門DIAMOND SOARS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUNNY AND GOLD TT 1.10.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 5 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SHENRON XB/H1/P1/TT- R Maia · P C Ng | R Maia | P C Ng | 12 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT2 L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | ZACIAN C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 10 | 7.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | DIAMOND SOARS H/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | 4 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | DASHING GENIUS B-/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 2 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | MOONLUCK C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | NOBODY KNOWS CP1 H N Wong · L Ho | H N Wong | L Ho | 7 | 102.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SURE WINNER B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 3 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 20.6% | 4.85 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING | 17.8% | 5.61 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 13.3% | 7.51 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | HEARTY WISH | 9.5% | 10.58 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | ZACIAN | 9.4% | 10.67 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | MOONLUCK | 6.8% | 14.66 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | DIAMOND SOARS | 6.6% | 15.10 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | SURE WINNER | 4.5% | 22.28 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 3.8% | 26.37 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SHENRON | 3.4% | 29.29 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | DASHING GENIUS | 2.7% | 36.60 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | NOBODY KNOWS | 1.5% | 64.95 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 111.5
PLACE
1 17.5
3 29.5
5 38.5
QUINELLA
3,5 811
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 81
1,5 95
3,5 234.5
FORECAST
3,5 1,569
TIERCE
3,5,1 5,357
TRIO
1,3,5 635
FIRST 4
1,3,5,10 5,649
QUARTET
3,5,1,10 174,852
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 511.5
3/5 116
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 27.5