跑馬地 · 2022-10-05 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-10-05跑馬地第9場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Ferraris策騎、C Fownes訓練的LUCKY GOR勝出，贏出1。RATTAN KINGDOM獲得亞軍；YELLOWFIN獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門YELLOWFIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY GOR B/E/TT 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | RATTAN KINGDOM B1/XB1/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 7 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | YELLOWFIN C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | HARDLY SWEARS CP Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 4 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | VAMOS L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | COLONEL M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | IRON WILL B1/TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 59.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | PRIDE OF EIGHT XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 2 | 7.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | WIND SPEEDER C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 1 | 9.7 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | COLOURFUL BARON PC-/B2/TT L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | 5 | 71.0 | 13 |
| — | 12 | NOIR RIDER V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YELLOWFIN | 17.0% | 5.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | LUCKY GOR | 16.5% | 6.05 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | VAMOS | 15.9% | 6.29 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | PRIDE OF EIGHT | 11.3% | 8.88 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | WIND SPEEDER | 10.9% | 9.21 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | HARDLY SWEARS | 9.0% | 11.16 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 6.1% | 16.46 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | COLONEL | 5.6% | 18.00 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 4.6% | 21.61 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | IRON WILL | 2.3% | 42.86 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | COLOURFUL BARON | 0.9% | 115.23 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 85
PLACE
4 24.5
6 16
11 22.5
QUINELLA
4,11 255
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 60.5
4,11 87
6,11 53
FORECAST
4,11 629
TIERCE
4,11,6 2,423
TRIO
4,6,11 248
FIRST 4
4,6,8,11 495
QUARTET
4,11,6,8 14,291
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/4>6,11,12 1,427,451
8TH DOUBLE
8/4 1,267.5
8/11 197
SIX UP
4/5/7/5/8/4 2,944,872
4,6/5,6/7,8/2,5/6,8/4,11 179,566
5 [M F Poon] —
2 [C Fownes] —
TREBLE
5/8/4 6,045
5/8/11 1,272