跑馬地 · 2022-12-28 · 22:58
第 9場
2022-12-28跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的LOYAL BABY勝出，贏出3/4。AMAZING ONE PLUS獲得亞軍；STORM LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門COMET SPLENDIDO跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LOYAL BABY 後段發力 TT 1.39.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | AMAZING ONE PLUS 後段發力 XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | STORM LEGEND 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 7.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 2.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | MALDIVES 後段發力 B/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | THE RUNNER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 136.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | WIN WIN FIGHTER S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 1 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPER DYNAMITE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE 早段領放 E/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | TRADER CP/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 69.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | MASTER DELIGHT B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 56.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 36.2% | 2.76 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 14.1% | 7.08 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | WINNING DRAGON | 9.2% | 10.83 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 8.3% | 12.08 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 6.4% | 15.52 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | STORM LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.57 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 5.7% | 17.59 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | MALDIVES | 4.4% | 22.59 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | TRADER | 3.1% | 32.46 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | LOYAL BABY | 2.5% | 39.46 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | MASTER DELIGHT | 2.3% | 43.13 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | THE RUNNER | 2.0% | 51.18 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 178.5
PLACE
4 37.5
11 40
12 23.5
QUINELLA
4,11 821.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 292.5
4,12 149.5
11,12 150
FORECAST
11,4 1,545
TIERCE
11,4,12 12,405
TRIO
4,11,12 1,374
FIRST 4
2,4,11,12 1,026
QUARTET
11,4,12,2 38,435
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,11/4,11,12 452,077
8TH DOUBLE
11/4 124
11/11 2,230
SIX UP
1,9/3,8,10/2,5/2,3/3,11/4,11 6,429
1/10/5/3/11/11 2,986,812
5 [P C Ng] —
5 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
3/11/4 407
3/11/11 4,853