跑馬地 · 2023-01-11 · 22:53
第 9場
2023-01-11跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的ARMOUR EAGLE勝出，贏出1/2。HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE獲得亞軍；XPONENTIAL獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT 1.09.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | XPONENTIAL B/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 44.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY EIGHT CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 6 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | STAR BRITE CP/TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | SAVVY CHIC TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 1 | 4.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SPANGLE FORTUNE TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 106.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | MIDORI BEAUTY TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 3 | 5.5 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 10 | 152.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DIVINE SHINING XB/TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 8 | 63.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SAVVY CHIC | 20.7% | 4.82 | 8 |
| 2 | 10 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 15.9% | 6.28 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | STAR BRITE | 12.9% | 7.73 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | MIDORI BEAUTY | 12.9% | 7.74 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | YO BEAUTY | 9.7% | 10.33 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 9.0% | 11.07 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | HUMBLE STAR | 8.0% | 12.47 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | LUCKY EIGHT | 3.6% | 27.78 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | XPONENTIAL | 3.2% | 31.48 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | DIVINE SHINING | 2.7% | 37.59 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 0.7% | 141.29 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 0.6% | 159.65 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 120.5
PLACE
4 39
6 88
10 16.5
QUINELLA
4,10 249
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 532.5
4,10 93.5
6,10 306.5
FORECAST
4,10 696
TIERCE
4,10,6 14,809
TRIO
4,6,10 2,820
FIRST 4
4,6,7,10 5,594
QUARTET
4,10,6,7 148,712
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 32
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
7>3,5,6/4,6,10 56,614
8TH DOUBLE
3/4 746.5
3/10 31
SIX UP
2,5/1,10/1,9/2,6,7/3,5,6/4,10 4,446
2/10/1/2,6/3/4 1,321,187
1 [C S Shum] —
1 [S De Sousa] —
TREBLE
2,6/3/4 1,761
2,6/3/10 62