跑馬地 · 2023-01-11 · 21:16
第 6場
2023-01-11跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由S De Sousa策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SUPER BABY勝出，贏出SH。SUNNY DELIGHT獲得亞軍；PACKING SUCCEEDER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.6倍大熱門PERFECT TO GREAT跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER BABY 一路領先 CP 1.41.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | SUNNY DELIGHT 後段發力 B-/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 2 | 5.5 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | PACKING SUCCEEDER 後段發力 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | LUCKY GOLD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET 後段發力 H/PC/XB K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | BABY B L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 44.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 後段發力 CP-/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | PALACE PAL B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | SMILING CITY CP H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 SR/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | BELL OF HAPPINESS H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 7 | 127.0 | 3-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY GOLD | 20.8% | 4.80 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 13.8% | 7.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER BABY | 12.1% | 8.26 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 12.1% | 8.27 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 7.9% | 12.61 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | PALACE PAL | 7.6% | 13.10 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | FEARLESS FIRE | 7.1% | 13.99 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 6.1% | 16.40 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 4.4% | 22.63 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | BABY | 3.9% | 25.80 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | SMILING CITY | 3.1% | 31.94 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | BELL OF HAPPINESS | 0.9% | 113.94 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 151
PLACE
1 42
7 33
9 18.5
QUINELLA
1,9 438
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 297
1,9 150
7,9 84.5
FORECAST
1,9 814
TIERCE
1,9,7 12,618
TRIO
1,7,9 1,108
FIRST 4
1,3,7,9 1,758
QUARTET
1,9,7,3 59,725
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 27
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/1 655.5
10/9 39