Happy Valley · 2023-01-11 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER BABY Wire to wire CP 1.41.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B-/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 2 | 5.5 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER Closed strongly M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BABY B L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 44.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP-/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PALACE PAL B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | SMILING CITY CP H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 7 | 127.0 | 3-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUPER BABY, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with SUNNY DELIGHT second and PACKING SUCCEEDER third. The winner led throughout. The 4.6 favourite PERFECT TO GREAT finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 20.8% | 4.80 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 13.8% | 7.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER BABY | 12.1% | 8.26 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 12.1% | 8.27 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 7.9% | 12.61 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | PALACE PAL | 7.6% | 13.10 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 7.1% | 13.99 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 6.1% | 16.40 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 4.4% | 22.63 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | BABY | 3.9% | 25.80 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 3.1% | 31.94 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS | 0.9% | 113.94 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 151
PLACE
1 42
7 33
9 18.5
QUINELLA
1,9 438
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 297
1,9 150
7,9 84.5
FORECAST
1,9 814
TIERCE
1,9,7 12,618
TRIO
1,7,9 1,108
FIRST 4
1,3,7,9 1,758
QUARTET
1,9,7,3 59,725
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 27
5TH DOUBLE
10/1 655.5
10/9 39