Happy Valley · 2023-01-11 · 18:47
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PRIME MORTAR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with ALL IS GOOD second and HOSS third. The 2.5 favourite ALL IS GOOD finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRIME MORTAR CP/XB1/TT 1.09.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | ALL IS GOOD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HOSS XB/TT1 L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 9 | 78.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | ACE TALENT B-/H1/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | EXUBERANT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 9.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | INFINITE POWER CP H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | MIRACLES B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 12 | 99.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 49.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | EAGLE RUN B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 33.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | COOL BLUE TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 20-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COOL BLUE | 18.9% | 5.30 | 12 |
| 2 | 11 | ALL IS GOOD | 18.8% | 5.31 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | PRIME MORTAR | 15.4% | 6.51 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | EXUBERANT | 10.2% | 9.79 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | MIRACLES | 8.1% | 12.41 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | INFINITE POWER | 6.7% | 14.97 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | ACE TALENT | 4.6% | 21.71 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.5% | 22.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 4.5% | 22.14 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 4.0% | 25.11 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | EAGLE RUN | 2.7% | 37.00 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | HOSS | 1.6% | 61.26 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 55
PLACE
5 152
9 18
11 12
QUINELLA
9,11 70
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 539.5
5,11 240.5
9,11 28
FORECAST
9,11 183
TIERCE
9,11,5 5,816
TRIO
5,9,11 1,103
FIRST 4
5,8,9,11 2,087
QUARTET
9,11,5,8 32,553
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17.5