Happy Valley · 2023-01-11 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER Wire to wire 1.47.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 1 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT TT H W Lai · F C Lor | H W Lai | F C Lor | 2 | 39.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 8 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON XB-/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 5 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | RED MAJESTY B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 11 | 72.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-11 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. MONEY CATCHER, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with PACKING AWARD second and RISE BRETHREN third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 23.2% | 4.30 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 13.1% | 7.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 12.2% | 8.22 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 9.6% | 10.47 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.72 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 8.5% | 11.80 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | PACKING AWARD | 7.9% | 12.63 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 5.3% | 18.98 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 5.0% | 20.13 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 3.9% | 25.91 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 2.9% | 34.48 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 25.5
PLACE
2 11.5
7 47.5
8 26
QUINELLA
2,7 261.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 104
2,8 34.5
7,8 193.5
FORECAST
2,7 365
TIERCE
2,7,8 2,080
TRIO
2,7,8 556
FIRST 4
2,7,8,10 2,113
QUARTET
2,7,8,10 28,110
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/7,8>2,6 75,778
6TH DOUBLE
1/2,6 445
1/7 262
TRIPLE TRIO
1,6,10/1,7,9/7,8>2,6 4,958,925
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,10/1,7,9/Any Combination 11,516