Happy Valley · 2023-01-11 · 22:19
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 12 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 7.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TRADER Led early CP/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 9 | 105.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | STOICISM B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 3 | 59.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO CP-/P1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 4 | 12.0 | 21 |
| — | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-11 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by K L Man, won by 1, with ROCKET SPADE second and MALDIVES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ROCKET SPADE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 16.9% | 5.92 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 13.8% | 7.27 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 13.6% | 7.34 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 9.5% | 10.47 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE | 8.3% | 12.03 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MALDIVES | 5.6% | 17.77 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | STOICISM | 3.0% | 33.11 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | TRADER | 2.7% | 36.64 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 2.6% | 37.80 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 2.1% | 46.98 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 42
PLACE
3 18
6 14.5
7 28.5
QUINELLA
3,6 67
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 34
3,7 69
6,7 55.5
FORECAST
3,6 191
TIERCE
3,6,7 1,016
TRIO
3,6,7 188
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 380
QUARTET
3,6,7,1 7,280
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 25.5
7TH DOUBLE
2,6/3 132.5
2,6/5,6 13