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Happy Valley · 2023-01-11 · 20:16

Race 4

Class 2 GOOD 1000m Course B 10 runners

Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-11 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. HANDSOME BO BO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with PING HAI GALAXY second and POWER KOEPP third. The 2.4 favourite WHIZZ KID finished 6th.

Result

Official · 0.56.51
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 HANDSOME BO BO TT 0.56.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum 8 12.0 N
2 5 PING HAI GALAXY K Teetan · J Size 1 7.1 N
3 10 POWER KOEPP E S De Sousa · J Size 2 6.6 N
4 7 ASTROLOGER SR K C Leung · P C Ng 5 9.3 1-1/2
5 8 STREET SCREAM B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 4 4.7 1-3/4
6 1 WHIZZ KID B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 9 2.4 2-3/4
7 4 HARMONY AND RICH Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 7 26.0 2-3/4
8 3 KEEP YOU WARM B/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 31.0 3-1/4
9 9 CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT H N Wong · W Y So 6 80.0 4-1/4
10 6 WE THE SOUTH H/XB V Borges · F C Lor 10 35.0 4-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HANDSOME BO BO2. PING HAI GALAXY+0.05L3. POWER KOEPP+0.05L4. ASTROLOGER+1.5L5. STREET SCREAM+1.75L6. WHIZZ KID+2.75L7. HARMONY AND RICH+2.75L8. KEEP YOU WARM+3.25L9. CLASSIC UNICORN+4.25L10. WE THE SOUTH+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick POWER KOEPP (24.6%) finished 3rd — the winner HANDSOME BO BO was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 POWER KOEPP 24.6% 4.07 3
2 1 WHIZZ KID 22.9% 4.36 6
3 8 STREET SCREAM 15.8% 6.32 5
4 5 PING HAI GALAXY 15.6% 6.40 2
5 7 ASTROLOGER 6.8% 14.79 4
6 2 HANDSOME BO BO 5.8% 17.38 1
7 6 WE THE SOUTH 2.9% 34.47 10
8 3 KEEP YOU WARM 2.1% 48.61 8
9 4 HARMONY AND RICH 2.0% 49.92 7
10 9 CLASSIC UNICORN 1.6% 63.88 9
POWER KOEPPWHIZZ KIDSTREET SCREAMPING HAI GALAXYASTROLOGERHANDSOME BO BO — wonWE THE SOUTHKEEP YOU WARMHARMONY AND RICHCLASSIC UNICORN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 121.5

PLACE

2 31.5

5 19

10 18

QUINELLA

2,5 398.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 114

2,10 80.5

5,10 46.5

FORECAST

2,5 869

TIERCE

2,5,10 3,689

TRIO

2,5,10 447

FIRST 4

2,5,7,10 991

QUARTET

2,5,10,7 29,209

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 52

A1

A2

3RD DOUBLE

2/2 845.5

2/5 72