沙田 · 2023-03-29 · 20:48
第 4場
2023-03-29沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由K Teetan策騎、J Size訓練的SHINING FORTUNE勝出，贏出1-1/4。MAGIC SUPREME獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA CONCORD獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHINING FORTUNE PC/XB 1.09.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 5 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 11 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | KEEN UNITY B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 89.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | LIFE IS GOOD H/XB/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 6 | 35.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 9 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | CALL ME TEDDY TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 8.8 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HURRY HURRY RICH PC-/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 12 | 88.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 26.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | CROWN OF STAR XB-/P1/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 2 | 44.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHINING FORTUNE | 32.3% | 3.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 11.1% | 9.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | THE MULTIPLIER | 10.9% | 9.18 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | MAGIC SUPREME | 10.3% | 9.67 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 8.3% | 12.04 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | CALL ME TEDDY | 6.9% | 14.54 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 3.8% | 26.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | CROWN OF STAR | 3.5% | 28.29 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | KEEN UNITY | 2.4% | 42.18 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | HURRY HURRY RICH | 1.5% | 65.76 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | LIFE IS GOOD | 1.4% | 70.39 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 30.5
PLACE
1 27.5
5 14
11 16.5
QUINELLA
5,11 65
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 55.5
1,11 85.5
5,11 27.5
FORECAST
5,11 133
TIERCE
5,11,1 839
TRIO
1,5,11 254
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 163
QUARTET
5,11,1,10 2,928
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,14/1,5,11 13,157
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 14.5
3RD DOUBLE
14/5 666.5
14/11 124.5