Sha Tin · 2023-03-29 · 20:48
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-29 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. SHINING FORTUNE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with MAGIC SUPREME second and CALIFORNIA CONCORD third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHINING FORTUNE PC/XB 1.09.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 5 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 11 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | KEEN UNITY B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 89.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | LIFE IS GOOD H/XB/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 6 | 35.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 9 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | CALL ME TEDDY TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 8.8 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HURRY HURRY RICH PC-/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 12 | 88.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 26.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | CROWN OF STAR XB-/P1/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 2 | 44.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHINING FORTUNE | 32.3% | 3.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 11.1% | 9.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | THE MULTIPLIER | 10.9% | 9.18 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | MAGIC SUPREME | 10.3% | 9.67 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 8.3% | 12.04 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 7.6% | 13.17 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | CALL ME TEDDY | 6.9% | 14.54 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 3.8% | 26.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | CROWN OF STAR | 3.5% | 28.29 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | KEEN UNITY | 2.4% | 42.18 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | HURRY HURRY RICH | 1.5% | 65.76 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | LIFE IS GOOD | 1.4% | 70.39 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 30.5
PLACE
1 27.5
5 14
11 16.5
QUINELLA
5,11 65
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 55.5
1,11 85.5
5,11 27.5
FORECAST
5,11 133
TIERCE
5,11,1 839
TRIO
1,5,11 254
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 163
QUARTET
5,11,1,10 2,928
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,14/1,5,11 13,157
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 14.5
3RD DOUBLE
14/5 666.5
14/11 124.5