Sha Tin · 2023-03-29 · 19:47
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-29 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. LUCKY BANNER, ridden by L Currie and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with I GIVE second and THE BEST HERO third. The 2.9 favourite HAPPY TANGO finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT 1.09.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 26.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | I GIVE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | THE BEST HERO B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 2 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | COOL BLUE TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | SWEET DIAMOND CP-/B1 H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 7 | 49.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 6 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | DARCI LEGEND H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 106.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 2.9 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | STORMTROUPER E/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 3 | 8.5 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | EAGLE RUN SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 47.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | AWESOME TREASURE H/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 10.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AWESOME TREASURE | 12.9% | 7.76 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 12.8% | 7.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO | 12.2% | 8.22 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | STORMTROUPER | 12.0% | 8.35 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | THE BEST HERO | 9.6% | 10.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | EAGLE RUN | 9.0% | 11.12 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | HANDSOME REBEL | 8.4% | 11.87 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | I GIVE | 6.7% | 14.84 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | COOL BLUE | 6.1% | 16.50 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | LUCKY BANNER | 5.3% | 19.02 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | SWEET DIAMOND | 3.6% | 27.86 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | DARCI LEGEND | 1.5% | 66.23 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 261
PLACE
6 16.5
8 63
9 24
QUINELLA
8,9 941.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 180.5
6,9 56.5
8,9 222.5
FORECAST
8,9 2,504
TIERCE
8,9,6 15,502
TRIO
6,8,9 1,013
FIRST 4
6,7,8,9 5,941
QUARTET
8,9,6,7 159,960
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/8 3,853.5
11/9 212
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,11/6,8,9 54,284
3 PICK 1
A3 35.5
A1 —
A2 —