Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-03-29 · 19:47

Race 2

Class 4 WET SLOW 1200m 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LUCKY BANNER H/TT 1.09.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · C Fownes 1 26.0 1-1/2
2 0 I GIVE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 5 6.3 1-1/2
3 0 THE BEST HERO B H W Lai · L Ho 2 4.7 1-3/4
5 0 SUMMIT CHEERS TT H Bowman · D J Hall 10 10.0 2-1/2
6 0 SWEET DIAMOND CP-/B1 H T Mo · P F Yiu 7 49.0 3-1/4
7 0 HANDSOME REBEL B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 6 17.0 4
8 0 DARCI LEGEND H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 106.0 4
9 0 HAPPY TANGO B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 4 2.9 4
10 0 STORMTROUPER E/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip 3 8.5 8-3/4
11 0 EAGLE RUN SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 11 47.0 11-1/2
12 0 AWESOME TREASURE H/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 12 10.0 14-3/4
— 0 COOL BLUE TT K C Leung · F C Lor — 22.0 1-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-29 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. LUCKY BANNER, ridden by L Currie and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with I GIVE second and THE BEST HERO third. The 2.9 favourite HAPPY TANGO finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY BANNER—2. I GIVE+1.5L3. THE BEST HERO+1.75L5. SUMMIT CHEERS+2.5L6. SWEET DIAMOND+3.25L7. HANDSOME REBEL+4L8. DARCI LEGEND+4L9. HAPPY TANGO+4L10. STORMTROUPER+8.75L11. EAGLE RUN+11.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick AWESOME TREASURE (12.9%) finished 12th — the winner LUCKY BANNER was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 AWESOME TREASURE 12.9% 7.76 12
2 0 SUMMIT CHEERS 12.8% 7.83 5
3 0 HAPPY TANGO 12.2% 8.22 9
4 0 STORMTROUPER 12.0% 8.35 10
5 0 THE BEST HERO 9.6% 10.38 3
6 0 EAGLE RUN 9.0% 11.12 11
7 0 HANDSOME REBEL 8.4% 11.87 7
8 0 I GIVE 6.7% 14.84 2
9 0 COOL BLUE 6.1% 16.50 —
10 0 LUCKY BANNER 5.3% 19.02 1
11 0 SWEET DIAMOND 3.6% 27.86 6
12 0 DARCI LEGEND 1.5% 66.23 8
AWESOME TREASURESUMMIT CHEERSHAPPY TANGOSTORMTROUPERTHE BEST HEROEAGLE RUNHANDSOME REBELI GIVECOOL BLUELUCKY BANNER — wonSWEET DIAMONDDARCI LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 261

PLACE

6 16.5

8 63

9 24

QUINELLA

8,9 941.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 180.5

6,9 56.5

8,9 222.5

FORECAST

8,9 2,504

TIERCE

8,9,6 15,502

TRIO

6,8,9 1,013

FIRST 4

6,7,8,9 5,941

QUARTET

8,9,6,7 159,960

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

11/8 3,853.5

11/9 212

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,11/6,8,9 54,284

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 35.5