Sha Tin · 2023-03-29 · 22:23
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT 1.08.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 4 | 3.3 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT2 H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 6 | 101.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CZARSON CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED DESERT B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MAN STAR V S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 1 | 5.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER KING SR/XB/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 2 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | COBHFIELD CP H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 9 | 36.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | THE ROCK K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 48.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 19.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 0 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 12.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-29 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. YOUTHFUL DEAL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with GUMMY GUMMY second and LIGHTNING BOLT third. The 3.3 favourite GUMMY GUMMY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 18.7% | 5.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MAN STAR | 12.4% | 8.07 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 11.3% | 8.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY | 11.2% | 8.90 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CZARSON | 10.1% | 9.90 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 9.2% | 10.82 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | HUMBLE STAR | 8.0% | 12.57 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | COBHFIELD | 5.4% | 18.48 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | THE ROCK | 4.5% | 22.28 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | RED DESERT | 4.4% | 22.55 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 2.4% | 41.00 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER KING | 2.2% | 44.93 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 55
PLACE
2 35
6 14
8 19.5
QUINELLA
6,8 109
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 82.5
2,8 88.5
6,8 44.5
FORECAST
8,6 305
TIERCE
8,6,2 1,629
TRIO
2,6,8 329
FIRST 4
2,6,8,12 5,922
QUARTET
8,6,2,12 83,977
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/6 13
4/8 140