Sha Tin · 2023-03-29 · 21:21
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly V-/XB/PC2/TT 1.39.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 6 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P2/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 14 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HIGH CLOUD Closed strongly B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT Closed strongly V2/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 8.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly B-/V1/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 9 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 13 | 29.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EMERGING Closed strongly H/B1/TT S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 10 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER Closed strongly H-/B1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 20.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 9.6 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 21.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY B C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 43.0 | 16-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SAMARKAND Led early H-/XB-/CP1/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | — | 5.4 | 16-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-29 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. ASIAN ONE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by J Richards, won by 1-3/4, with AMAZING TEENS second and NICE BIRDIE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.1 favourite AMAZING TEENS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 15.0% | 6.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 11.2% | 8.96 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 9.8% | 10.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 9.3% | 10.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 7.8% | 12.77 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | EMERGING | 6.8% | 14.63 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 6.7% | 14.99 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 6.5% | 15.29 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 5.9% | 16.94 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SAMARKAND | 5.7% | 17.48 | — |
| 11 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 4.8% | 20.68 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 4.1% | 24.46 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 3.4% | 29.67 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | HIGH CLOUD | 2.9% | 34.27 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 93
PLACE
4 19
5 72
13 22.5
QUINELLA
4,13 216.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 180
4,13 78.5
5,13 341.5
FORECAST
13,4 434
TIERCE
13,4,5 9,433
TRIO
4,5,13 1,470
FIRST 4
4,5,6,13 11,157
QUARTET
13,4,5,6 204,948
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 29.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/4 23.5
5/13 278.5