Sha Tin · 2023-03-29 · 22:58
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-29 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. ADIOS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with GOKO WIN second and COMPUTER PATCH third. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ADIOS TT 1.09.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 4.2 | N |
| 2 | 11 | GOKO WIN B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH CP-/B1/TT H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | ASTROLOGER SR A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM P2/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | STOLTZ CP R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | POWER KOEPP E2 S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | KA YING MASTER TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 13.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | HARMONY AND RICH H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 41.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | NERVOUS WITNESS H/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 7.7 | 21-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOKO WIN | 17.2% | 5.80 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | POWER KOEPP | 16.5% | 6.06 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 13.2% | 7.57 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | ADIOS | 11.0% | 9.10 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 6.9% | 14.42 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | STOLTZ | 6.8% | 14.74 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | KA YING MASTER | 6.0% | 16.61 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | ASTROLOGER | 5.4% | 18.40 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 5.1% | 19.53 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | CAMPIONE | 4.6% | 21.54 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | COMPUTER PATCH | 4.0% | 24.85 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | HARMONY AND RICH | 3.1% | 32.36 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 42
PLACE
1 39.5
11 33
12 19
QUINELLA
11,12 193
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 222.5
1,12 114
11,12 74
FORECAST
12,11 262
TIERCE
12,11,1 3,520
TRIO
1,11,12 1,265
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 785
QUARTET
12,11,1,7 15,854
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 26
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,8/1,11,12 21,970
7TH DOUBLE
8/11 108.5
8/12 248.5
SIX UP
4,14/5,11/4,13/4,7/6,8/11,12 960
14/5/13/4/8/12 152,322
5 [M Chadwick] —
2 [F C Lor] —
TREBLE
4/8/11 181
4/8/12 267