Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-03-29 · 22:58

Race 8

Class 2 WET SLOW 1200m 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ADIOS TT 1.09.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor 8 4.2 N
2 0 GOKO WIN B M Chadwick · C H Yip 6 10.0 N
3 0 COMPUTER PATCH CP-/B1/TT H Bowman · K H Ting 7 12.0 2
4 0 SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 2 5.2 2
5 0 CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 6.7 3-1/2
6 0 ASTROLOGER SR A Badel · P C Ng 4 19.0 3-3/4
7 0 TORONADO PHANTOM P2/TT V Borges · J Size 11 11.0 5-1/4
8 0 STOLTZ CP R Maia · K W Lui 9 35.0 5-1/4
10 0 KA YING MASTER TT K C Leung · T P Yung 5 13.0 10
11 0 HARMONY AND RICH H W Lai · Y S Tsui 10 41.0 12-1/4
12 0 NERVOUS WITNESS H/XB L Currie · D A Hayes 12 7.7 21-1/4
— 0 POWER KOEPP E2 S De Sousa · K L Man — 15.0 6

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-29 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. ADIOS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with GOKO WIN second and COMPUTER PATCH third. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ADIOS—2. GOKO WIN+0.05L3. COMPUTER PATCH+2L4. SUPER WIN DRAGON+2L5. CAMPIONE+3.5L6. ASTROLOGER+3.75L7. TORONADO PHANTOM+5.25L8. STOLTZ+5.25L10. KA YING MASTER+10L11. HARMONY AND RICH+12.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GOKO WIN (17.2%) finished 2nd — the winner ADIOS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOKO WIN 17.2% 5.80 2
2 0 POWER KOEPP 16.5% 6.06 —
3 0 SUPER WIN DRAGON 13.2% 7.57 4
4 0 ADIOS 11.0% 9.10 1
5 0 NERVOUS WITNESS 6.9% 14.42 12
6 0 STOLTZ 6.8% 14.74 8
7 0 KA YING MASTER 6.0% 16.61 10
8 0 ASTROLOGER 5.4% 18.40 6
9 0 TORONADO PHANTOM 5.1% 19.53 7
10 0 CAMPIONE 4.6% 21.54 5
11 0 COMPUTER PATCH 4.0% 24.85 3
12 0 HARMONY AND RICH 3.1% 32.36 11
GOKO WINPOWER KOEPPSUPER WIN DRAGONADIOS — wonNERVOUS WITNESSSTOLTZKA YING MASTERASTROLOGERTORONADO PHANTOMCAMPIONECOMPUTER PATCHHARMONY AND RICH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 42

PLACE

1 39.5

11 33

12 19

QUINELLA

11,12 193

QUINELLA PLACE

1,11 222.5

1,12 114

11,12 74

FORECAST

12,11 262

TIERCE

12,11,1 3,520

TRIO

1,11,12 1,265

FIRST 4

1,7,11,12 785

QUARTET

12,11,1,7 15,854

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 26

A2 —

A3 —

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,8/1,11,12 21,970

7TH DOUBLE

8/11 108.5

8/12 248.5

SIX UP

4,14/5,11/4,13/4,7/6,8/11,12 960

14/5/13/4/8/12 152,322

2 [F C Lor] —

5 [M Chadwick] —

TREBLE

4/8/11 181

4/8/12 267