沙田 · 2023-09-17 · 08:39
第 8場
2023-09-17沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、P C Ng訓練的I GIVE勝出，贏出N。KA YING WARRIOR獲得亞軍；DREAM PURSUER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | I GIVE 1.09.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 8 | KA YING WARRIOR H-/XB Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 3.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | DREAM PURSUER H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | PODIUM XB/B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUNLIGHT POWER K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 11 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 14 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | GO GO GO H/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 6 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | SEE U AGAIN K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 13 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | PERFECT PEACH B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | CURLING SPEED M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 125.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | DIAMOND FOREVER A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 10 | 70.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | MARVEL DRAGON TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 34.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DREAM PURSUER | 17.2% | 5.81 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | I GIVE | 12.7% | 7.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 10.7% | 9.34 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | PERFECT PEACH | 10.4% | 9.66 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 9.6% | 10.45 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | KA YING WARRIOR | 9.0% | 11.10 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO | 7.0% | 14.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | PINS PRINCE | 5.8% | 17.29 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | MARVEL DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.16 | 14 |
| 10 | 5 | SEE U AGAIN | 4.7% | 21.20 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | GO GO GO | 3.0% | 33.49 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | PODIUM | 2.4% | 41.66 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | DIAMOND FOREVER | 1.5% | 68.26 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | CURLING SPEED | 0.9% | 114.46 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 29
PLACE
3 20.5
8 16.5
13 15
QUINELLA
8,13 63
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 49
3,13 46.5
8,13 30
FORECAST
13,8 157
TIERCE
13,8,3 678
TRIO
3,8,13 135
FIRST 4
2,3,8,13 492
QUARTET
13,8,3,2 8,433
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,4/3,8,13 3,967
7TH DOUBLE
3/8 16.5
3/13 165