沙田 · 2023-09-17 · 18:23
第 4場
2023-09-17沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、K L Man訓練的CHIU CHOW BROTHER勝出，贏出3/4。SUNNY BABY獲得亞軍；FIRE BALL獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.0倍大熱門SUNNY BABY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER 一路領先 B 1.21.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 11 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SUNNY BABY 後段發力 B2 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | FIRE BALL M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 後段發力 CP/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW B-/P1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | MEDIC ELITE 後段發力 PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION 後段發力 B-/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 111.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | TURBO POWER A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 9 | 6.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | FORTUNE MASTER B/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 14 | 28.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | BEAUTY NOVA H2/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 13 | 14.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | DIAMOND WINNER B-/P1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 104.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 19.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUNNY BABY | 31.6% | 3.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | SMART LEADER | 14.1% | 7.09 | 8 |
| 3 | 14 | MEDIC ELITE | 7.9% | 12.63 | 6 |
| 4 | 13 | BEAUTY NOVA | 7.0% | 14.30 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW | 6.9% | 14.41 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 6.3% | 15.99 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 5.0% | 19.99 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 4.9% | 20.33 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | TURBO POWER | 4.1% | 24.56 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | FORTUNE MASTER | 3.9% | 25.60 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 3.3% | 30.63 | 14 |
| 12 | 7 | FIRE BALL | 2.5% | 40.67 | 3 |
| 13 | 1 | DIAMOND WINNER | 1.4% | 70.60 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 1.2% | 82.83 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 80.5
PLACE
3 16
5 35
7 57
QUINELLA
3,5 199
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 70.5
3,7 156
5,7 247.5
FORECAST
5,3 367
TIERCE
5,3,7 5,879
TRIO
3,5,7 1,160
FIRST 4
3,5,6,7 3,781
QUARTET
5,3,7,6 72,553
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/3,5,7 87,426
3RD DOUBLE
1/3 281.5
1/5 2,985.5