跑馬地 · 2023-11-08 · 14:55
第 9場
2023-11-08跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的SON PAK FU勝出，贏出HD。BUNDLE OF CHARM獲得亞軍；REWARD SMILE獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門REWARD SMILE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SON PAK FU BO 1.09.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 7.0 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 17.0 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | REWARD SMILE TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GOKO WIN B A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | NORDIC DRAGON TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 8 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | POWER KOEPP E M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 11 | 88.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | EASON V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 9.8 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | NORDIC DRAGON | 20.4% | 4.90 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | SON PAK FU | 15.1% | 6.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | REWARD SMILE | 13.7% | 7.32 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 10.0% | 10.00 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 8.9% | 11.21 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR | 7.8% | 12.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | XPONENTIAL | 6.7% | 14.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | GOKO WIN | 5.9% | 16.83 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | EASON | 3.9% | 25.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | CAMPIONE | 3.7% | 27.15 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | POWER KOEPP | 2.4% | 42.19 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.6% | 63.17 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 70.5
PLACE
6 44.5
10 16
11 24
QUINELLA
6,11 511
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 118
6,11 166.5
10,11 49
FORECAST
11,6 981
TIERCE
11,6,10 3,823
TRIO
6,10,11 621
FIRST 4
6,8,10,11 2,097
QUARTET
11,6,10,8 46,156
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
8/6/6 1,641
8/6/11 2,280
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/6,10,11 21,250
8TH DOUBLE
6/6 190.5
6/11 344
SIX UP
3/1/1/8/6/11 3,205,174
3,12/1,8/1,10/8,11/2,6/6,11 32,831
7 [P C Ng] —
1 [Z Purton], 3 [K Teetan] —