Happy Valley · 2023-11-08 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-08 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SON PAK FU, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by HD, with BUNDLE OF CHARM second and REWARD SMILE third. The 3.9 favourite REWARD SMILE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SON PAK FU BO 1.09.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 7.0 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 17.0 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | REWARD SMILE TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GOKO WIN B A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | NORDIC DRAGON TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 8 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | POWER KOEPP E M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 11 | 88.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | EASON V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 9.8 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | NORDIC DRAGON | 20.4% | 4.90 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | SON PAK FU | 15.1% | 6.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | REWARD SMILE | 13.7% | 7.32 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 10.0% | 10.00 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 8.9% | 11.21 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR | 7.8% | 12.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | XPONENTIAL | 6.7% | 14.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | GOKO WIN | 5.9% | 16.83 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | EASON | 3.9% | 25.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | CAMPIONE | 3.7% | 27.15 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | POWER KOEPP | 2.4% | 42.19 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.6% | 63.17 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 70.5
PLACE
6 44.5
10 16
11 24
QUINELLA
6,11 511
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 118
6,11 166.5
10,11 49
FORECAST
11,6 981
TIERCE
11,6,10 3,823
TRIO
6,10,11 621
FIRST 4
6,8,10,11 2,097
QUARTET
11,6,10,8 46,156
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
8/6/6 1,641
8/6/11 2,280
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/6,10,11 21,250
8TH DOUBLE
6/6 190.5
6/11 344
SIX UP
3/1/1/8/6/11 3,205,174
3,12/1,8/1,10/8,11/2,6/6,11 32,831
7 [P C Ng] —
1 [Z Purton], 3 [K Teetan] —