Happy Valley · 2023-11-08 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RIGHT HONOURABLE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by M Newnham, won by 1/2, with REGENCY HAPPY STAR second and HAPPY JAI JAI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite MEDIC ELITE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB 1.40.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 9 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly CP/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 29.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly B- L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 5 | 50.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly B-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | DOUBLE SHOW P/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 10 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | CHIRON Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BEAUTY NOVA H-/CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 3 | 7.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FAITHFUL TRINITY B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 12 | 32.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | TURBO POWER Led early B- L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 8.2 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MEDIC ELITE | 20.7% | 4.83 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 17.3% | 5.77 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | TURBO POWER | 9.1% | 11.02 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | DOUBLE SHOW | 9.0% | 11.09 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | BEAUTY NOVA | 8.3% | 12.10 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 7.3% | 13.66 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | NICE BIRDIE | 6.7% | 14.94 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 6.5% | 15.44 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 5.3% | 18.76 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | CHIRON | 4.5% | 22.24 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 3.0% | 33.03 | 2 |
| 12 | 4 | BROTHER PEARL | 2.2% | 44.87 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 124
PLACE
1 33.5
3 18.5
6 77
QUINELLA
1,6 1,969
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 91
1,6 568
3,6 297.5
FORECAST
1,6 3,447
TIERCE
1,6,3 15,184
TRIO
1,3,6 1,871
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 12,624
QUARTET
1,6,3,4 307,087
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,11/1,3,6 73,024
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 810
5/6 423