Happy Valley · 2023-11-08 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAN HERO Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 5 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FRANTANCK M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 11 | 45.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly V L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT- K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG BRILLIANT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 6 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 3.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly H/P/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 10 | 24.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 9.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CHARITY BINGO L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 3 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSILE V-/B2 A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 1 | 14.0 | 32-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LEAN HERO, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with INTREPID WINNER second and FRANTANCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite TOURBILLON PRINCE finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 19.2% | 5.21 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 13.2% | 7.58 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | CHARITY BINGO | 10.0% | 9.99 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 9.9% | 10.11 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 9.4% | 10.58 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 7.7% | 12.99 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TEAM | 6.8% | 14.74 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | QUANTUM PATCH | 6.4% | 15.62 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | MALDIVES | 5.6% | 17.81 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 5.2% | 19.17 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | C P BRAVE | 4.9% | 20.51 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | FRANTANCK | 1.7% | 59.15 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 66.5
PLACE
8 24
11 31.5
12 102.5
QUINELLA
8,11 390.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 114.5
8,12 523
11,12 637.5
FORECAST
8,11 793
TIERCE
8,11,12 27,739
TRIO
8,11,12 5,304
FIRST 4
6,8,11,12 10,636
QUARTET
8,11,12,6 319,803
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,12/8,11,12 198,534
6TH DOUBLE
1/8 195
1/11 42.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,11/1,10,12/Any Combination 15,074