Happy Valley · 2023-11-08 · 11:25
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TRIO, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with EXUBERANT second and REGENT GLORY third. The 3.1 favourite VICTORY SCHOLARS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAPPY TRIO B 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 9 | 8.2 | N |
| 2 | 3 | EXUBERANT B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 12 | 9.2 | N |
| 3 | 11 | REGENT GLORY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | KASI FARASI B B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 6 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | PODIUM B/XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 5 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SO AWESOME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | SHINING FORTUNE PC-/XB/B2 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | NISHIKADO B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 31.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | MASTER OF ALL TT1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 28.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | FLYING ON THE TURF B-/XB/V1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 11 | 59.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | REGENT GLORY | 25.8% | 3.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY TRIO | 15.8% | 6.32 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | EXUBERANT | 10.4% | 9.58 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SHINING FORTUNE | 10.3% | 9.71 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | SO AWESOME | 7.9% | 12.73 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | KASI FARASI | 6.5% | 15.27 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 5.8% | 17.24 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | PODIUM | 5.7% | 17.49 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | NISHIKADO | 5.2% | 19.40 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 2.6% | 38.55 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | MASTER OF ALL | 2.2% | 45.48 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 1.7% | 57.70 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 82.5
PLACE
3 30.5
5 27
11 19
QUINELLA
3,5 318.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 104
3,11 72
5,11 76
FORECAST
5,3 624
TIERCE
5,3,11 2,449
TRIO
3,5,11 345
FIRST 4
3,5,9,11 793
QUARTET
5,3,11,9 16,131
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 339
3/5 1,925