Happy Valley · 2023-11-08 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly 1.40.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.7 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 9 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 16.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING BOY TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 1 | 9.1 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly SR/V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 7 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER BABY B1/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 80.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 11 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GALLANT GOODY M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 76.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | M M NEBULA Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 5 | 3.4 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT HERO, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with STRONGEST BOY second and TO INFINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite STRONGEST BOY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | M M NEBULA | 19.8% | 5.04 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY | 18.6% | 5.37 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 13.2% | 7.55 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO | 9.8% | 10.25 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION | 9.7% | 10.26 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 6.6% | 15.06 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | TO INFINITY | 6.2% | 16.25 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER BABY | 5.5% | 18.05 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER | 4.7% | 21.44 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SHINKANSEN | 3.9% | 25.97 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY HUNK | 1.3% | 75.22 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | GALLANT GOODY | 0.6% | 163.75 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 139.5
PLACE
1 31
8 15.5
11 54.5
QUINELLA
1,8 193.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 69.5
1,11 382
8,11 108.5
FORECAST
1,8 584
TIERCE
1,8,11 9,085
TRIO
1,8,11 1,191
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 3,484
QUARTET
1,8,11,2 94,409
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/3/1 12,531
1/3/8 894
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/1,8,11 315,564
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 2,929.5
3/8 99.5