Happy Valley · 2023-11-08 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-11-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY GLORY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with GRATEFUL HEART second and SWEET BRIAR third. The 3.0 favourite LIGHTNING BOLT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/H/TT 1.09.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | GRATEFUL HEART CP-/B1/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 1 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 5.1 | N |
| 4 | 1 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | JUMBO FORTUNE PC/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 9.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT PC-/B2 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | STORM LEGEND A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | YOUTH POWER K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | LUCKY GOR B/E/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 10 | 6.5 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | KIMBERLEY B/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 8 | 121.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | E UNIVERSE TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 73.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SWEET BRIAR | 22.0% | 4.54 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | BEAUTY GLORY | 20.6% | 4.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 17.0% | 5.88 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | LUCKY GOR | 8.7% | 11.44 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 8.2% | 12.17 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | READY TO WIN | 7.4% | 13.50 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | GRATEFUL HEART | 5.5% | 18.22 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | STORM LEGEND | 3.6% | 27.80 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | YOUTH POWER | 2.9% | 34.76 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 2.0% | 50.44 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | E UNIVERSE | 1.5% | 66.58 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | KIMBERLEY | 0.5% | 183.30 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 61.5
PLACE
2 33
6 22.5
7 17
QUINELLA
2,6 370.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 113.5
2,7 99
6,7 65
FORECAST
6,2 662
TIERCE
6,2,7 2,886
TRIO
2,6,7 388
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 173
QUARTET
6,2,7,1 6,557
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
8/2 135.5
8/6 501.5