跑馬地 · 2024-06-05 · 12:41
第 5場
2024-06-05跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由H Bowman策騎、C Fownes訓練的DARING PURSUIT勝出，贏出1/2。CAN'T GO WONG獲得亞軍；FIGHTING MACHINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門FIGHTING MACHINE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DARING PURSUIT 後段發力 TT 1.41.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 3.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER EAGLE 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO H-/E1 B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 3 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | KASA PAPA 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | SETANTA B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 9.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SIXTH GENERATION CP/H/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 8 | 9.7 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 16.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SIGHT SUPREME 後段發力 PC A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 38.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | GRAND CONQUEROR A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 138.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | TOGEPI B-/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 9 | 49.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CAN'T GO WONG | 20.5% | 4.88 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 16.8% | 5.96 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | TURIN WARRIOR | 10.6% | 9.42 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | SIXTH GENERATION | 10.3% | 9.75 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | DARING PURSUIT | 9.3% | 10.72 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | SETANTA | 8.8% | 11.34 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | KASA PAPA | 7.3% | 13.71 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER EAGLE | 6.4% | 15.71 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO | 3.6% | 27.82 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | TOGEPI | 3.0% | 32.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | SIGHT SUPREME | 2.9% | 34.70 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | GRAND CONQUEROR | 0.6% | 181.30 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 65.5
PLACE
2 23.5
3 15
9 15
QUINELLA
2,9 158
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 55
2,9 61.5
3,9 31.5
FORECAST
2,9 341
TIERCE
2,9,3 1,097
TRIO
2,3,9 178
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 1,365
QUARTET
2,9,3,12 25,414
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/6/2 16,385
4/6/9 1,648
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,11/2,3,9 1,300,920
4TH DOUBLE
6/2 3,810.5
6/9 382.5