沙田 · 2024-10-01 · 07:40
第 6場
2024-10-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1800米。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的HAPPY HERO勝出，贏出3/4。SHARPEN BRIGHT獲得亞軍；JUBILATION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門SPECIAL HEDGE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | HAPPY HERO 後段發力 B 1.47.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SHARPEN BRIGHT 後段發力 B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 6 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | JUBILATION 後段發力 V M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO 早段領放 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | INTREPID WINNER 後段發力 B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 5 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | STORM WINNER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | MIDORI BURLY 後段發力 CP/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 11 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | MISTER DAPPER CP/XB B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 14 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | AFFORDABLE B-/CP2/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 13 | 89.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | PERFECT PAIRING B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 51.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SMART BEAUTY 後段發力 B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 41.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | THE AZURE K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | SUPER HONG KONG B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 44.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STORM WINNER | 17.5% | 5.71 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 14.3% | 6.99 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | JUBILATION | 13.0% | 7.67 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | HAPPY HERO | 8.6% | 11.65 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | THE AZURE | 7.9% | 12.63 | 13 |
| 6 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO | 7.0% | 14.25 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 6.3% | 15.97 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | MISTER DAPPER | 6.2% | 16.22 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | SMART BEAUTY | 5.1% | 19.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | INTREPID WINNER | 4.3% | 23.08 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | MIDORI BURLY | 3.4% | 29.61 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER HONG KONG | 2.8% | 35.26 | 14 |
| 13 | 3 | PERFECT PAIRING | 2.4% | 42.46 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | AFFORDABLE | 1.2% | 85.81 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 124
PLACE
1 51.5
8 35.5
14 34
QUINELLA
1,14 1,295.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 237
1,14 217
8,14 214
FORECAST
14,1 2,497
TIERCE
14,1,8 20,257
TRIO
1,8,14 3,348
FIRST 4
1,8,10,14 3,148
QUARTET
14,1,8,10 90,653
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,11,13/1,8,14 405,460
5TH DOUBLE
13/1 249
13/14 1,224.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,9,11/5,11,13/1,8,14 20,538,286
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,9,11/5,11,13/Any Combination 4,286