跑馬地 · 2024-12-11 · 13:55
第 7場
2024-12-11跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米。由H Bentley策騎、W K Mo訓練的ATOMIC FORCE勝出，贏出1/2。YOUTHFUL SPIRITS獲得亞軍；HEROIC MASTER獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門YOUTHFUL SPIRITS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE XB/TT 0.57.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 6 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/B1/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 2 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY UNITED PC-/B1/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 5 | 31.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 9 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | DO YOUR PART H A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 8 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | FAST RESPONDER H-/SR-/B1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 63.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | MIDORI GLORY B-/TT A Pouchin · P C Ng | A Pouchin | P C Ng | 1 | 9.1 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H-/B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 40.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CELESTIAL HARMONY B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 3 | 79.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 20.0% | 5.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 15.1% | 6.61 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | SPORTS LEGEND | 14.6% | 6.85 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | HEROIC MASTER | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 11.6% | 8.60 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | MIDORI GLORY | 8.2% | 12.21 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 7.1% | 14.05 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY UNITED | 3.3% | 30.71 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | DO YOUR PART | 2.8% | 35.26 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 1.3% | 77.52 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | FAST RESPONDER | 1.1% | 88.54 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 0.7% | 151.93 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 58
PLACE
3 16.5
4 17.5
10 17
QUINELLA
3,4 141.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 49.5
3,10 42.5
4,10 39.5
FORECAST
3,4 303
TIERCE
3,4,10 921
TRIO
3,4,10 140
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 162
QUARTET
3,4,10,6 4,432
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,7/3,4,10 808,281
6TH DOUBLE
7/3 4,405.5
7/4 512
TRIPLE TRIO
1,6,11/1,4,7/3,4,10 22,358,547
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,11/1,4,7/Any Combination 447,170