跑馬地 · 2024-12-11 · 14:25
第 8場
2024-12-11跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1200米。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA DEEPLY勝出，贏出1。SHINKANSEN獲得亞軍；HAPPY TANGO獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT 1.10.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | SHINKANSEN SR-/H/CP1/TT A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 30.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | LUCKY GENERATIONS SR-/H1/P1/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 78.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | REWARDING TWINKLE TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 78.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B2 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | BRAVE JOY TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | CIRCUIT DUFFY Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER ELITE B/H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | TRAVEL GOLF B/TT- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT H/XB/TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 10 | 4.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | UNISON B/XB/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 6 | 36.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 20.3% | 4.92 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 18.8% | 5.33 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 18.7% | 5.34 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | SHINKANSEN | 15.0% | 6.67 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | SUPER ELITE | 6.3% | 15.92 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 6.0% | 16.73 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | TRAVEL GOLF | 3.8% | 26.07 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | BRAVE JOY | 3.8% | 26.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO | 2.7% | 36.74 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | UNISON | 2.4% | 42.47 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 1.6% | 64.46 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 0.7% | 149.01 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 33
PLACE
3 14.5
5 83
10 17.5
QUINELLA
3,10 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 222.5
3,10 42
5,10 386
FORECAST
3,10 216
TIERCE
3,10,5 5,698
TRIO
3,5,10 1,506
FIRST 4
3,5,6,10 13,571
QUARTET
3,10,5,6 187,602
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
3/3 226.5
3/10 56.5